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Book Review
"Freakonomics: A
Rogue Economist Explores the Hidden Side of Everything"
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Introduction
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Catching the
Cheaters
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Economics or
Morality?
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Key Lessons
Introduction
Have you ever
wondered:
Ø
What do sumo wrestlers and teachers have in common?
Ø
How is the Ku Klux Klan like a group of real estate agents?
Ø
Why do drug dealers still live with their mothers?
At first glance,
these questions might seem trivial, even frivolous.
Not to Steven
Levitt and International Leaders Conference keynote speaker Stephen
Dubner. To the authors of
"Freakonomics: A Rogue Economist Explores the Hidden Side of
Everything," these questions serve as a gateway to fascinating
insights into human behavior.
In addition, the
answers to these questions support two important principles uncovered in
Levitt’s off-the-beaten-path economic research. One, that more often
than not, "conventional wisdom" proves to be highly unconventional and
not supported by the data. Two, that given enough hard data to work
with, certain macro-economic principles can shed new light on what
really motivates human behavior at the individual level.
Not exactly what
you would expect from a Harvard-trained economist and a seasoned New
York Times reporter.
Catching the
Cheaters
So, what do
sumo wrestlers and teachers have in common?
According to the
authors, both groups -- like most human beings -- share a propensity to
cheat when the stakes are high.
Using conventional
economic tools to analyze the data, Levitt and Dubner determined that
sumo wrestlers often engage in quid-pro-quo type deals that enable them
to pad their won-lost records and retain higher rankings, which
translate into significantly higher earnings and lifestyle perks. In
fact, by analyzing the numbers, the authors were able to determine which
sumo wrestlers were mostly likely to throw a match and at what point
during a tournament.
Using the same
methods, the authors also discovered that some public school teachers
actually changed their students’ answers on standardized tests in order
to earn cash incentives and/or boost their own performance ratings.
However, the real
insight, say the authors, is not that sumo wrestlers and teachers break
the rules in order to enhance their personal gain. It’s that given a
sufficient pool of data and by asking the right questions, it’s actually
possible to determine which people are cheating within a particular
system.
More important, by
understanding the incentives that guide human behavior, we can begin to
get at the real underlying causes of many social phenomena. Which leads
to an unconventional conclusion -- that economics can actually be used
to understand individual human behavior in a very meaningful way.
Economics or
Morality?
The fact that sumo
wrestlers rig some of their matches may hold little interest to those
outside of Japan. Catching teachers who cheat carries a bit more social
significance.
However, as Levitt
and Dubner aptly demonstrate, economics can also shed light on some of
society’s more pressing issues, such as:
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What factors really determine whether a child will do well in school?
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Do parents really matter?
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What
caused the sudden and dramatic drop in crime during the 1990s?
Using regression
analysis and other economic tools, the authors come up with some
interesting, plausible and sometimes controversial answers to these
important questions.
For example, they
attribute the unprecedented drop in crime during the 1990s not to
improved policing techniques, more prisons or an aging population (as so
many "experts were wont to do), but to a single event that took place 20
years earlier -- the landmark decision by the Supreme Court that
legalized abortion across the United States.
Casting aside
questions of morality or political correctness, the authors suggest that
the change in abortion laws had a remarkable, though unintended,
long-term consequence. Women who previously were forced to give birth to
children in social and economic environments that tend to breed criminal
behavior could now choose not to have those children in the first place.
As a result, an entire generation of criminals was not born, and two
decades later society experienced a sharp decline in crime of all types.
Controversial? Yes.
Politically incorrect? Perhaps. But based on their hard evidence, the
authors make a strong case.
Despite their
findings, Levitt and Dubner in no way endorse abortion as a
crime-fighting tool. In fact, they purposefully avoid taking a public
stand one way or another regarding the morality of abortion.
Their point in this
situation? When it comes to cause and effect, conventional wisdom often
misses the mark by a wide margin. But when applied in a judicious
manner, economics can help to remove the social blinders and get at the
real causes of human behavior.
Key Lessons
Questions of
morality aside, Levitt and Dubner have written a book that is as
unsettling as it is fun to read.
From learning how
experts use their informational advantage to serve their own agendas to
finding out which "truisms" about parenting simply aren’t true, "Freakonomics"
will change the way you look at human behavior.
In the end, the
authors make several important points:
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Incentives are the cornerstone of modern life. Understanding them is
the key to solving almost every riddle.
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Conventional wisdom is often wrong.
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Dramatic effects often have distant, even subtle causes.
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Knowing what to measure and how to measure it makes a
complicated world much less so.
Levitt and Dubner
hope these lessons will encourage us to start thinking more sensibly
about how people actually behave in the real world. All it requires,
they say, is a novel way of looking, discerning and measuring. And, of
course, eschewing "conventional wisdom" for a closer look at what is
really happening with human behavior.
The authors also
hope that after reading their book we might all become a bit more
skeptical of conventional wisdom. That we might dig a little deeper into
how things aren’t quite what they seem. That we might even seek out new
data and carefully sift through it, in the process balancing our
intellects and intuitions in order to arrive at "glimmering new ideas."
In a world where
most authors insist that we embrace their narrow points of view while
eschewing all others, a book that encourages readers to question their
assumptions and cast a wary eye upon conventional wisdom comes across as
a breath of fresh air.
"Freakonomics"
co-author Stephen Dubner is speaking at the International Leaders
Conference, set for Oct 26-28 at the Washington Grand Hyatt in
Washington, D.C.
Created for MyTEC. Copyright 2005, TEC Worldwide, Inc. All
rights reserved.
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EXPERT INSIGHT
How to Make Employees
Your "Brand Family"
By TEC
speaker Karen Post
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Introduction
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The best brand
ambassadors
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Internal branding
goals
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Touching the troops
Introduction
Many organizations
spend a lot of resources and boatloads of time on building their brand.
They hire consultants, map out an intense external communications
program, print their logo on everything in sight, and then watch their
brand end up as a blurry, bland and boring blob of nothing special.
How does this
happen?
One of the biggest
reasons is that organizations forget their employees or put them at the
bottom of the communication priority list. On the contrary—employees are
absolutely critical to building a strong, sustainable brand.
You’ve got a good
story, a compelling visual look and feel, and a category distinguisher.
Now bring your employees into the action. Their buy-in can be a deal
maker or deal breaker. It’s up to you.
The best brand
ambassadors
Employees can bring
a higher volume to your brand voice and be walking/talking billboards
and devoted advocates for your cause.
Studies show that
organizations that brand internally experience less turnover, attract
the brightest talent and foster healthier, more productive environments.
Breathing brand
within an organization has two distinct dimensions of power:
1.
As brand
ambassadors, employees are the cheerleaders, the big brother or sister
who watches out for the brand and serves as the human front line to the
market.
2.
Your
brand is the magnet that draws out superstar recruits, empowers loyalty
from the current staff and adds to the overall corporate brand.
Both disciplines
require commitment, resource and innovation. Both are worthy
initiatives.
Internal
branding goals
Your company’s size
may dictate how these efforts are managed and implemented. Larger
organizations sometimes shift internal branding responsibilities from
marketing to the HR department. In any case, the activities need to
transform thinking about branding from a pure marketing function to an
organizational principle. And in all situations, leadership needs to be
an advocate of brand initiatives and take an active role-model position.
Your internal
branding goals may include:
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Strengthen your brand’s visual identification.
When you
establish internal branding communication standards, the brand will
move to the marketplace in a more consistent, cohesive fashion.
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Launch new business units.
As
organizations grow, new business units need to launch from within.
Without that internal buy-in, the external branding process is
tougher.
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Serving as a catalyst for change.
Layoffs, management changes, mergers and acquisitions all shake up
employees. The brand can serve as a security blanket through the
toughest situations.
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Be the center point for your brand essence or corporate
strategy. The big brand is the glue that holds all the pieces together and
keeps everyone on the same page and focused on the company’s mission.
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Connect employees to each other as a "brand family."
As humans, we all have tribal instincts. We like to hang together with
like-minded souls. Internal branding efforts can unite a tight team
even in tough market conditions. It gives them something to hold on to
for security and a connection to shared values.
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Achieve "employer of choice" status.
Employees and recruits tend to gravitate to brands they understand,
ones with clear identities whose values they share. Recruiting top
candidates and retaining skilled talent are the results of solid
internal branding. Strong brands can reduce staffing turnover.
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Instill brand values in key processes.
As employees grasp the brand essence, they are more likely to infuse
the same attributes into their work product and processes.
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Deliver brand promises through employees.
Employees are your primary source of customer contact. As they engage
the brand promise, they will naturally channel it to the customers
through all service and touch points.
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Add
momentum to selling channels.
Strong brands ease the selling process. If your organization has any
kind of size of sales team, the more they know about and believe in
the brand, the easier it is for them to do their job.
Touching the
troops
From these goals,
you need to decide if you create two separate initiatives or breathe
brand in one unified effort. This will depend on how closely aligned the
corporate brand is with the individual marketed brands and the degree of
your employee needs. In a perfect world, they would be very aligned, but
as companies grow, sometimes their diversification makes this more
difficult. Whatever track you take, you now must tactically touch your
troops with the appropriate brands.
Here are some tips:
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Decorate your lobby in brand style on a special day or every day.
Use giant brand characters, murals, neon signs.
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Create newspaper funnies with the brand. Feature brand leaders,
brand warriors and brands busted. From fax cover sheets to memo pads
and annual reports, all should prominently showcase the brand and
represent the voice.
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Tell your brand story to all employees. Explain how the brand was
born and where it’s headed. Test employees on brand knowledge and
reward them, too. If you can, give brand products and service to
employees.
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Unveil the new brand at brand parties and celebrations. Other
noteworthy occasions include christening of a brand, changes in a
brand, achievement of brand milestones.
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Put
the brand on relevant promotional items.
Internal branding
and enhanced employee communications can certainly be an expense. So how
will you know when and if they’re working? From my experience, there are
several observational indicators, ranging from employee turnover and
increased employee satisfaction to increased productivity and overall
customer relations and loyalty.
TEC speaker
Karen Post is an author and branding consultant based in Tampa, Fla.
Created for MyTEC. Copyright 2005, TEC Worldwide, Inc. All
rights reserved.
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EXPERT INSIGHT
How Much Should You
Spend on Marketing?
By TEC
speaker Mitch Goozé
"How much money
should I spend on marketing?"
Here is my answer:
It depends on what you mean by "marketing." Since most people who ask
that question are referring to the promotion side of marketing, let’s
focus there.
The promotion side
of marketing generally includes activities designed to create awareness
and/or move customers further along the buying cycle—until a salesperson
can take over. These activities include advertising, public relations,
trade shows, brochures and collateral materials, premiums and give-aways,
and some portion of your Web site costs.
One answer to the
question is that you can afford to spend up to the net present value of
a new customer’s lifetime profit contribution. Or, put another way: A
new customer has some value to your business. What is that value?
Realistically, it’s the sum of the profits that the customer generates
over the time they do business with you, discounted to its present value
today.
The new
customer’s profit value
Several obvious
problems crop up. First, how much does the "typical" new customer buy
from you? What is the marginal profit contribution of that added
customer? Clearly the contribution to profit from a new customer (or an
existing customer buying more) is greater, since all other fixed costs
are already being incurred regardless of their purchase.
How long are they
likely to be your customer? One year, five years, longer? The longer
they’re your customer, the more valuable they are to you. What is the
ongoing cost of retaining the customer? How does that affect their
continued profit contribution?
What is the present
value of that profit stream? If you can calculate the profit stream,
then the present value is just a simple calculation to be performed by a
computer.
So it’s obvious
that to determine "how much can I spend on marketing?" requires
that you understand the customer’s profit value. That demands more
knowledge of a customer than many companies have.
Does that excuse
you from not knowing? I don’t think so.
But if you do
know, can you afford to spend that total amount on marketing? As my
father once taught me, "can’t afford" doesn’t necessarily imply a lack
of money, but a lack of desire to spend it on a particular item. Just
because you can afford to spend that much money on marketing promotion,
doesn’t mean you should.
Effective and
efficient
If you’ve found a
marketing message that can create valuable new customers, you’ve found
an effective marketing message. Now you must work to make it more
efficient. Effectiveness is doing the right thing; efficiency is
doing things right.
First do the right
thing, then do things right.
If you don’t work
to make your effective marketing messages more efficient, you can still
spend too much money on effective marketing and suffer a competitive
disadvantage. While this is better than spending too much money on an
ineffective marketing message, it’s still a problem.
The bottom line:
The marketing-to-sales process is a manufacturing process that produces
valuable customers on purpose. Like any manufacturing process, to
increase output (profitable sales), you must focus first on the
manufacturing bottlenecks.
So before you
rearrange the budget and realign your entire bottom line to account for
an expanded marketing budget, think of what you want to accomplish—and
if you have the resources to follow through. Increasing marketing
promotion to generate more leads that you don’t follow up on is a waste
of money, no matter how you look at it.
TEC speaker
Mitch Goozé is president of the Customer Manufacturing Group,
based in Santa Clara, Calif.
Created for MyTEC. Copyright 2005, TEC Worldwide, Inc. All
rights reserved.
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